Mission Impossible: Net-Zero Carbon Dioxide Emissions Targets Amount to Economic Suicide

Costly and chaotic wind and solar are central to so-called ‘net-zero CO2 emissions targets’. The renewables driven energy calamity playing out in Europe, California, Texas now Australia can only worsen under the yoke of further efforts to reduce carbon dioxide gas in the electricity generation sector with much more of the same.

As the ‘inevitable’ wind and solar transition fantasy unravels, a mild sense of panic is beginning to pepper the grand ‘green’ energy delusion.

But, true to his class, the zealot never lets reality trouble him for very long, as The Australian’s Adam Creighton details below.

Climate change: Net-zero target is pure fantasy
The Australian
Adam Creighton
9 June 2022

“The truth is the science of climate change is very clear,” Anthony Albanese said after his meeting with Joe Biden in Tokyo last month.

The new Australian government and the Biden administration are now brothers in arms in a risky strategy to slash CO2 emissions in their respective nations.

If containing China is their ­biggest foreign policy challenge, meeting their new ambitious climate change promises is their largest domestic one.

Labor has promised to legislate a 43 per cent cut in CO2 emissions by 2030 (from 2005 levels), a big rise from the Coalition’s promised (without legislation) 28 per cent.

A year ago, the Biden administration promised a 50 per cent cut by 2030, on which it has made no meaningful progress as it awkwardly seeks additional oil supplies from the Middle East and Venezuela to counter the global fuel shortage – and price spike – wrought by sanctions on Russia.

Even if the science of climate change is very clear, how advanced nations, let alone the world, achieves net zero by 2050 is very much not. The energy put into opposing emissions targets is a waste: they are simply not going to be met.

Science and economics will trump politics. “Complete decarbonisation of the global economy by 2050 is now conceivable only at the cost of unthinkable global economic retreat or as a result of extraordinarily rapid transformations relying on near-miraculous technical advances,” writes Vaclav Smil in his new book How The World Really Works, on the reality of energy production and demand.

Bill Gates’ favourite author – a Canadian-Czech academic with more than 40 books to his name on energy-related topics – explains how solar and wind energy cannot fulfil anything but a tokenistic share of total energy demand for the foreseeable future.

“This fundamental reality (our dependence on fossil fuels) is commonly ignored by those who do not understand how the world really works and who are now predicting rapid decarbonisation,” he writes, laying out the critical role of fossil fuels in food production, transport and industry.

Battery storage cannot make up for the inherent unreliability of the wind and sun, let alone do so in an economically viable way. The technical superiority of uranium and fossil fuels in generating energy is overwhelming: in terms of energy density and their ability to be stored and transported.

“The world has collectively deployed more than $US2 trillion for alternative energy over the past decade, and the share of the world’s energy coming from hydrocarbons has declined about 2 percentage points from 86 per cent to 84 per cent,” Mark Mills, an energy analyst at the Manhattan Institute, noted in late 2020.

The so-called transition has been glacial when it should have been easiest, yet many believe that in fewer than 28 years we’re going to reach net zero.

Labor has promised to cut power bills by $275 a year by 2025, perhaps without looking at what’s happened to energy prices in Germany, the large nation furthest along the path to net zero. After 20 years of its energy-transition policy, almost half of Germany’s electricity is generated by renewable energy, and its power prices are more than double those in the US, and 50 per cent more than in Australia. Yet Germany has had to keep – and maintain – most of its gas and coal power stations because solar panels in cloudy Germany produce energy only about 12 per cent of the time, Smil says.

The transition could peter out even sooner in transport, which produces as much CO2 emissions as electricity generation. Demand for electric cars is growing rapidly, but they still make up less than 1 per cent of world’s car fleet.

“A single EV battery weighs in at about 1000 pounds (450kg). Its fabrication requires digging up roughly 500,000 pounds of materials somewhere,” Mills also pointed out.

As activist Michael Moore argues in his recent documentary Planet of the Humans, the impact on the natural environment, which the Green movement ostensibly wants to protect, of flipping the other 99 per cent to electric would be devastating.

It won’t even get to that point: already the price of lithium, a critical mineral in the manufacture of batteries, has soared over 600 per cent in the past 12 months. Battery prices are rising already.

And the shift to renewable energy will undermine US and Australian security to the extent their economies become dependent on critical minerals, which are found in large quantities in China or Russia. The corrupt central African nation of Congo supplies two thirds of the world’s cobalt, also critical for batteries.

At the same time, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has injected a giant dose of energy realism into the world. A heightened risk of war, which could last years, isn’t the time to be risking blackouts and political unrest from massive power price hikes, especially when the US and Australia already have plentiful fossil fuels.

When the reality of the push for a 100 per cent renewable future dawns, the popularity of the enterprise will wane. Ultimately, governments care mainly about voter sentiment. It will become clear that severe restrictions on travel and meat consumption, for instance, even “climate lockdowns”, will be necessary to reach net-zero targets.

Even if the advanced nations could somehow get there, the rest of the world, where the bulk of people live, would not.

“When the world’s four billion poor people increase energy use to just one-third of Europe’s per capita level, global demand rises by an amount equal to twice America’s total consumption,” Mills added.

Africa’s and India’s growth won’t be fuelled by solar and wind power, but by coal, oil and gas.

Without a significant increase in nuclear power, vigorously opposed by Australia’s Greens and Labor, the world’s emissions targets don’t have a hope. At least the Biden administration, unlike the Labor government, recognises that obvious fact.
The Australian

Brace yourselves: crushing power bills are just the beginning.

About stopthesethings

We are a group of citizens concerned about the rapid spread of industrial wind power generation installations across Australia.

Comments

  1. catweazle666 says:

    “Even if the science of climate change is very clear…”
    Which it isn’t, of course.
    Not even close.
    But watch as catastrophism is rowed back as it becomes clear that not only is the Green Dream really a nightmare but a very significant number of nations don’t believe a word of it and excuses are required as to why the main proponents are having to row back – rapidly.
    And scapegoats will need to be found…

  2. ronaldsteinptsadvancecom says:

    Yes, the cost of crude oil is the main driving force for fuel prices, BUT Biden’s “we are going to get rid of fossil fuels” is driving up the cost of crude!

    Biden often cites the Russia-Ukraine War, and the loss of a few percent of Russian crude as the cause of fuel prices rising, BUT Biden continues to do everything possible to rid all crude oil from society.

    Under Biden’s goal and actions to restrict the supply of oil to be manufactured, while demand is increasing for the products manufactured from crude oil, refineries are SUPPOSED to be making outlandish profits!

  3. Isn’t “net zero” just a carbon credit scheme. The California natural gas burning plant at Desert Hot Springs nearby emits “excess” 1 part carbon to two parts OXYGEN (both of which are necessary to life) so they buy offsets, meaning they can continue to pollute more than what would be ideal for the community there if they buy credits where some company or public entity pollutes less. Pollute is the wrong word though as “green house gasses” are not even harmful to anything other than illusions. So there is no such thing as net zero in the real world as is presented by the hustlers in energy, it only exists in little parts of the world. The power generating plant I described in it’s small parcel of industrial land is “net zero” but position yourself down wind 500 feet away and it is NOT. It’s marketing nonsense. Net zero is an illusion, it is an impossibility if you include the entire world instead of carving out these exception areas.

  4. Son of a goat says:

    Ah the irony of it all;
    That long time renewable zealot and skunk Matt Kean pleading for more coal generation for NSW.
    The pacific islands calling foul on climate change drowning their little atolls only to seek financial refuge with China.

    In the most delicious irony of them all the woke having just got their luvies into “power” but are faced with the lights going out in NSW and Qld.

    Karma is a bitch.

    ………..but of course as they continually said on the Drum tonight “its nothing to do with renewables.”

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