Blackout Nation: Insane ‘Reliance’ on Wind Power Delivers Pure Power Chaos

Alcoholics call it a ‘moment of clarity’. In wind powered South Australia and Victoria, hitherto fans of renewables call it a ‘mass blackout’.

In 1919, after Engineer/Soldier, Sir John Monash returned to his home town of Melbourne from the Western Front, to a hero’s welcome, he set about establishing an electricity grid that would serve his home State, and the coal-fired power plants located in the Latrobe Valley that would power it.

Immediately after the Armistice was struck with the Germans on 11 November 1918, Monash sent officers to infiltrate German coalmines near Cologne and elsewhere to get an understanding of how the Germans managed to achieve the successful use of their brown coal reserves, similar to those found in the Latrobe Valley. Armed with knowledge of the German’s techniques and engineering, Monash drove the development of those reserves and their exploitation, and Melbourne and Victoria never looked back: the State Electricity Commission delivered reliable and affordable power for all Victorians, fuelling manufacturing, industry and the rapid growth in wealth and prosperity, almost unparalleled anywhere in the world.

That part of Monash’s extraordinary life appears in ‘Monash: The Soldier Who Shaped Australia’ (Grantlee Kieza, HarperCollins, 2015). It’s well worth a read, not just because Monash was a giant of a man, but because it paints a picture of a Country once driven by real endeavour, common sense and compassion; rather than narcissistic ideology.

Given what’s being done by Victorian Premier, Daniel Andrews and his fellow eco-loon travellers to Victoria’s once cheap and wholly reliable power supply, Monash must be turning in his grave.

Monash, a maths genius with a head for figures, would have been gobsmacked if presented with the graphic above (depicting the output during January from every wind turbine connected to the Eastern Grid, with a notional capacity of 4,360 MW) and told that it represented a system of electricity generation.

Monash (indeed, anyone that’s reached the age of reason) would have spotted the problem in an instant: a generation system that throws 2,000 MW into the grid over the space of minutes, without warning, and collapses by the same margin over the same time-frame, again without warning, and irrespective of the demands of users, is not a system, at all. It’s chaos.

Now that that chaos is repaying wind and sun worshippers with mass blackouts and forced load shedding across two States, slowly but surely the proletariat is reaching the same conclusion.

And for that reason, The Australian’s Robert Gottliebsen is praying for more of the same.

Governments concealing the truth about power
The Australian
Robert Gottliebsen
29 January 2018

The expected 2018 Victorian and NSW blackouts and brownouts have started. Last March I discovered blackouts were likely because NSW, Victoria and South Australian state governments had “vandalised our total energy system”.

In addition, Victoria, which has huge gas reserves, has been the key contributor to skyrocketing gas and power prices by legislatively blockading the development of its gas.

Never before in our recent history have we seen on this scale governmental incompetence and arrogant disregard for the well being of communities in the quest for green votes.

But there is relief in sight. This week’s Oakley Greenwood Report on Australian gas energy says that gas prices have started to decline as a better and more integrated market is developed. If Victoria allowed its gas to be developed the energy scene in Australia would be transformed, as would the outlook for the nation.

But that’s not much consolation for those in vast areas of rural NSW and Victoria plus suburban Melbourne and small areas of South Australia who suffered blackouts or reduced power on Sunday night. It’s true part of the outages were caused by fuses, but the outages were too widespread. It’s another smokescreen.

If similar conditions are repeated on weekdays and/or extend over several days the blackouts will be devastating as a result of the political vandalism. Government spin doctors and others are desperately trying to conceal the truth about the damage governments headed by Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews, NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian (plus her predecessors Mike Baird and Barry O’Farrell) and South Australia’s Jay Weatherill have caused.

South Australia suffered its blackouts last year so it was appropriate that this week’s blackouts were worst in Victoria — just as the residents of the gas-rich state discovered they suffered the biggest wholesale gas price rises in the country.

Federal Energy minister Josh Frydenberg declared: “Victorian families and businesses are now paying the highest prices in the country because of Daniel Andrews’ mindless bans on conventional and unconventional gas, which is locking up 40 years’ worth of domestic gas supply”.

Taking its concealment one step further the Victorian government last year appointed a $42 million committee which this month declared the state short of onshore gas, but it did not look at the vast reserves of lignite gas that don’t require fracking (because development was banned) nor the reserves of Lakes Oil in Gippsland and the Otway (because Lakes Oil are suing the government). Unbelievable.

But they did reveal a fascinating diagram, which showed that Lakes Oil’s Otway areas are linked to those in South Australia. A few days after the report Beach discovered a major find in South Australia six kilometres from the Victorian border.

We are looking at concealment of information from Victorians on a scale rarely seen in any developed country.

In fairness to Daniel Andrews the bans on the development of Victoria’s huge reserves started with the previous Coalition, but after my articles, which started last February, the current opposition leader Matthew Guy changed his stance.

On power shortages and blackouts it’s important that all Australians understand how the politicians conducted their vandalisation program.

First I emphasise there is nothing wrong with wanting to increase the proportion of energy you generate from renewables and setting targets. But you must do it properly.

Instead the Victorian, NSW and South Australian governments “plonked” wind and solar farms around their states and declared that it was cheaper than conventional power. Lots of green votes followed.

What they concealed from the public was the fact that renewables need back up for times when the wind does not blow or, as happened on Sunday, the sun is not shining when demand peaks late afternoon or at night. Part of the of the cost of renewables is back up such gas power, hydro or huge batteries. You also need to alter the grid to cater for the fact that the power is coming from different places.

If those essential elements were included, then the costs of renewables would be much higher and there would be a political backlash.

But it gets worse. When the wind blows and the sun shines there are rushes of cheap electricity, which damages the economics of coal production. If you are also investing in gas hydro, or some other back up generators you can shut down coal. But the NSW and Victorian governments shut down vital coal fired stations without replacement plants.

Thankfully Josh Frydenberg has a plan that will stop the mindless construction of renewables without backup and start the process of rectifying the mistakes. But it requires COAG approval, which is not easy particularly as South Australia still has not fully understood the damage they have created.

While gas can come from Queensland, NSW is blocking the Narrabri gas development and Victoria continues to ban development of its gas. So back up can’t be put in place, although the costly Snowy hydro will help. Victoria is going for diesel and on Sunday those diesel generators belched out fumes and pollution to avoid a full-scale crisis.

Victoria has become the diesel state. The greens turn a blind eye.

In a strange way we need more blackouts to teach the community that their leaders have been misleading them.
The Australian

Robert Gottliebsen is right about blackouts providing a wake-up call to power consumers and politicians, alike.

But he’s yet to wake-up to what’s really going on. He’s probably afraid to upset renewable rent seekers and/or zealots like his stablemate, Alan Kohler, who keeps pumping up the virtues of renewables, despite all the evidence as to cost and unreliability.

Lines like this give it away:

First I emphasise there is nothing wrong with wanting to increase the proportion of energy you generate from renewables and setting targets. But you must do it properly.

And just how would that look, Robert?

Robert talks about backup as if it’s free, and suggests that if a little more grey matter was applied to the subject, Australia could run on sunshine and breezes, as if like clockwork.

The Germans, hardly technological Luddites, can’t make wind and solar power work; they are suffering mass blackouts and routine load shedding, just like Victorians and South Australians. Simply because, as depicted above, when your power generation system is wholly dependent on the weather, you’re not dealing with a ‘system’ within the meaning of that term. In fact, what you are doing is destroying the system that people like Sir John Monash built from the ground up.

But, apart from completely misunderstanding the causes of the disaster (Robert, it’s the Federal government’s Large-Scale RET) and the solutions to it (starting with scrapping the LRET on the ‘when you’re in a hole stop digging’ principle), Robert gets one thing right: thanks to the chaos caused by wind power, the entire Eastern Grid is going to suffer more blackouts, more often; the cost of plugging the gaps left by daily wind power output collapses (see above) will be colossal; as a result, power consumers (read ‘voters’) will be furious; and that sticking with the current policy will inevitably lead to ‘electoral suicide’.

Malcolm Turnbull and Josh Frydenberg can bank it on it.

Blackout Nation: Malcolm, Josh the buck stops here.

About stopthesethings

We are a group of citizens concerned about the rapid spread of industrial wind power generation installations across Australia.

Comments

  1. Is there any information on what role Weatherill’s new diesel generators had to play in these power crunches? The SA government won’t admit it, but to my mind, the Tesla battery and the diesel generators were planned to work in conjunction. The Tesla battery buys 5-10 minutes of time that it takes the turbine generators to fire up during a power shortage. Of course the SA government will spin the role of the Tesla battery out of all proportion to the role and cost of the turbines, but one is not effective without the other and who cares about the cost when there’s an ideology at stake?

  2. Presumably no-one needs to be told the sun doesn’t shine at night, or that it’s not windy everywhere all the time. So voters need to look at themselves if they’re backing these misguided political leaders.

  3. The truly disturbing aspect of all this is that voters will take the view that blackouts and load shedding are a burden we must share in order to “do our bit” for the planet. This seems to be the majority opinion among Germans and Australians are in large part just as green afflicted.

  4. Terry Conn says:

    Gottliebsen has a fetish about ‘gas’ and that mining it and using it for electricity generation would solve all our electricity problems – in this he is partly correct, but, unfortunately he really only sees it as a backup for renewables – he refuses to understand the reality of wind power ( as denoted in the graph above) in that when there is no wind or a bit of wind then there is no power generated by wind power at all and an entire second system must exist to then provide electricity and both systems must be paid for, one that works on demand and one that doesn’t, essentially, work at all – so, not only do we pay enormous subsidies for a system that doesn’t work and interferes with the proper running of the grid we also pay enormous amounts for a backup system of gas that is only ‘allowed’ to operate without subsidy at crazy random times – the obvious solution is to ban wind power and use gas (or coal or nuclear). On numerous occasions I have commented on Gottliebsen’s articles in ‘The Australian’ to this effect but he either doesn’t read them or is steadfastly determined to ignore the reality, similarly to Turnbull, Frydenberg, AGL etc that remain fixated on high prices, wind farms and and expensive backup programs – bottom line, to hell with Australian consumers who they obviously see as fair game.

  5. Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    “A generation system that throws 2,000 MW into the grid over the space of minutes, without warning, and collapses by the same margin over the same time-frame, again without warning, and irrespective of the demands of users, is not a system, at all. It’s chaos.

    Now that that chaos is repaying wind and sun worshippers with mass blackouts and forced load shedding across two States, slowly but surely the proletariat is reaching the same conclusion.”

    SPOT-on STT.

    “Never before in our recent history have we seen on this scale governmental incompetence and arrogant disregard for the well being of communities in the quest for green votes.”

    YES Robert Gottliebsen.

  6. Son of a goat says:

    The frailty of human nature and all its weaknesses has been exposed recently in Australian politics.

    How the could the Liberal party hide and then deceive the Australian public on the Barnaby Joyce situation and think they would somehow have no collateral damage is mind boggling.

    Whether the issue is a matter for public scrutiny or not the issue was always going to hit the headlines. Sure by hiding the dilemma in its infancy it may have got Barnaby re-elected but now the issue is out in the public domain the fallout will be of a greater consequence than had they dealt with it earlier.
    Barnaby faces the boot and the cover up will scar the Liberals election hopes.

    Similarly with renewable energy policy deception abounds. My faith in once highly regarded organisations such as the ABC, the Bureau of Meteorology and once independent bodies such as the AEMO has been shattered.

    Why? They have an agenda to deal with climate change, all well and good but when the facts get in the way of pushing their agenda they hide and deceive with information.

    Wind energy is cheaper than coal, battery storage is the future, coal fired generators are old and failing, you’ve heard them all.

    Why even today “leading Economist” Ross Garnaut has come out and said that Australia is on track to the lowest energy costs in the world.

    Why don’t our politicians address the issue here and now ?
    Monash put the public first , unfortunately todays politicians are self serving…….. and boy are we and will continue to pay big time.

    Perhaps today there is a place is a ministerial capacity for a Lorena Bobbitt on both sides of the political divide.

  7. I was also hoping/wishing for blackouts for the renewable energy states. The more the merrier I say. Until the gerbil warming voters are affected nothing will change. Once the city dwelling latte set lose the ability to charge their iphones, watch the BS on their ABC and have to work without air-con a few times… maybe, just maybe we will see a path for change.

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