Big-Apple Blackouts Loom: Rush to Unreliable Renewables Threatens New York Power Grid

Soon, New Yorkers won’t get to choose their ‘Earth hour’.

 

New Yorkers are about to reap what their wind and solar obsessed Governor, Andrew Cuomo has sown. As South Australians and Germans are acutely aware, adding utterly unreliable and inherently intermittent wind and solar to a power grid, designed entirely around dispatchable sources, leads to chaos. That wind and solar superpower, South Australia, has become the butt of international jokes; after a run of mass load shedding events and Australia’s first-ever statewide blackout.

Those in the know, knew from the outset that adding wind and solar capacity (beyond a trivial percentage of total capacity) was always going to destroy grid reliability; resulting from an inability to match loads (demand) with supply, because supply would be increasingly dictated by crazy little phenomena, like the weather and sunset.

The warnings are now being laid out that those New Yorkers keen to celebrate Earth hour will soon have many more opportunities to signal their green virtue. Except, it’ll be mother nature that gets to flick the switch.

Looming Catastrophe: Power Grid Collapse Now In Sight in New York
Watts up with that
John Droz
7 May 2018

Here is a fascinating and revealing news article behind a paywall that I’m alerting you to. It is about just a few of the complications that will result from New York State’s (NYS) Clean Energy Standard (CES).

It discusses the NYISO (New York State Independent System Operator) 2018 Power Trends Report which (paraphrasing Winston Churchill):

…defends itself against the risk of being read by its very length and obfuscating technical jargon.

Note that the article observations are coming from a top NYISO person. In other words, this is someone on the electrical energy front lines who is struggling to deal with political energy policies — which (in NY) are divorced from science or economics and are completely oblivious of the technical consequences.

Seeing these unusually frank insider observations should be an eye-opener.

As an overview, there are several startling acknowledgments, essentially saying:

  1. Wind energy is an unrelentingly unpredictable and uncontrollable energy source
  2. Increasing wind energy on the grid is causing serious reliability issues
  3. Wind energy has very little Capacity Value, and that has not been adequately addressed
  4. Due to the inherent nature of wind energy it must be permanently paired with gas
  5. Adding more wind energy to the grid will require substantially more gas to be added to the grid
  6. The costs to deal with wind energy on the grid are rapidly increasing
  7. None of the costs incurred by wind energy are directly attributed to wind energy
  8. There are similarly major issues with solar, also not quite as severe
  9. None of the politicians or NGOs promoting wind or solar are acknowledging any of these issues
  10. “Stakeholders” are currently discussing a carbon tax, to make this situation even worse.

What else do you need to know to confirm that we are headed for a catastrophe? Well, there’s more…

Note that there is a very strong parallel here with the US mortgage meltdown of several years ago — which led to a world-wide major economic downturn. After the fact, when insiders were interviewed about what happened, they acknowledged that everyone-in-the-know knew that the lending, etc. policies put in place (by lobbyists) were guaranteed to fail.

Unless major changes are made quickly, several years from now there will be experts commenting on how the US energy grid failure (which will lead to a collapse of our economy, and our national security, and our society), was entirely predictable based on the self-serving unscientific energy policies put in place by lobbyists.

If you think this is an exaggeration, simply shut off the electricity in a major city, and see quickly it is before chaos and lawlessness ensues.

Now do the same for an entire region. Etc.

Once you’ve grasped the magnitude of that, you’ll understand why the Russians have put so much effort into promoting US energy policies that are completely nonsensical — to anyone but them. (See Subverting US Energy Policies for more details.)

The ONLY solution is to change our energy policies to be Science-based — starting with dumping the absurd “All of the Above” slogan, and replacing it with “All of the Sensible” as a national energy mantra.

The good news here is that this calamity is 100% preventable….

See this insightful article on the exact same subject.

After reading the Politico piece yesterday, an NYS utility expert shared with me several observations, including the following:

“A close colleague of mine worked at NYSERDA and is familiar with NYS agencies. We both acknowledge that there are many staff people at DPS, DEC, and NYISO who know this is going to end badly.

However, the micro-management of the agencies and the overt pressure on the NYISO to not be independent of the Administration, is keeping dissent under wraps. The only people that the NY political administration listens to, are those that say what they want to hear.

“Reading the Politico article and the platitudes about incentivizing rapid response resources makes me want to either laugh or cry. Just as there was not enough private interest in offshore wind, NYPA had to step in; I guarantee that no private developer will want to develop a new gas turbine plant. There is no business case for such a development in NYS. The problem is that the only way this issue will be recognized as important is when it gets to a crisis at best, and at worst after some blackouts occur.”

Watts Up With That?

Unscheduled ‘Earth hour’, Adelaide South Australia – 28.9.16

About stopthesethings

We are a group of citizens concerned about the rapid spread of industrial wind power generation installations across Australia.

Comments

  1. Melissa says:

    The costs keep accruing. I heard on ABC radio news yesterday that according to the AEMO last Summers blackouts only cost households an extra $6. To many Australians particularly low to middle income or no income this added cost, which will not be a ‘one-off’ expense creates hardship. It is not okay for the people to keep covering the expenses created by poor governmental planning and decision making.

    • Melissa says:

      I’ve worded the above incorrectly, the AEMO apparently put in measures to prevent blackouts over summer and these measures cost households an extra $6. This information was issued somewhere in AEMO’s Summer 2017/18 Operations Review put out on Wednesday, (according to renew economy).

      • Jackie Rovensky says:

        I wonder what the true price is considering AEMO is constantly making directives to prevent blackouts and problems with the grid.

  2. Reblogged this on "Mothers Against Wind Turbines™" Phoenix Rising… and commented:
    We tried to warn them…

  3. There have been insiders in Ontario who have described instability issues during major harmonic fluctuations. We need these experts to speak out very publicly as the Power Workers Union and Ontario’s Professional Engineers have. More important than that, we need a government that will listen to these experts.

  4. wal1957 says:

    The political elite are just following the herd. Groupthink at its finest. Anyone who did even a modicum of research into the feasibility of unreliables would have to be dubious at least, about the success of the venture.

    The really sad, depressing part about all this nonsense is that when things do break, we the taxpayer will be paying for the fix.
    It will be bloody big costly fix!

  5. I follow New York energy policy closely and the situation is as bad as Droz wrote. For example, the enviro’s cornered New York Governor Cuomo into “pledging” that the state would build no new natural gas fired power plants. However, in my post (https://wp.me/p8hgeb-5G) on this I showed examples where they will be needed absent a magical solution. Because this is an election year I predict that none of the necessary fossil fuel infrastructure permitting will progress until after the election.

  6. Charles Wardrop says:

    There must be some enlightened politicians in charge who can think for themselves but, if so, why have they not spoken out to halt this mad example of Groupthink?

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